Will climate change push up Coffee prices? Some farmers are already on the move
Scientists in the Americas are saying there is a new threat to coffee and other produce, Climate Change. In Central America where growing conditions have always been troublesome due to poverty and wasteful governments. The climate is a new threat which is destroying crops on a large scale. The agriculture sector employs millions of people across South America and many are located in Honduras.
Gradually increasing temperatures and more extreme weather events are producing unpredictable patterns, like too much rain causing floods or too little casuing drought in some areas. The fluctuation between the two is also a problem causing the spread of pests and disease.
These problems have cut crop production or wiped out entire harvests, leaving already poor farmers,and workers destitute.
Central America is among the regions most vulnerable to climate change, scientists say. And because farming employs much of the labour force — about 30 percent in Honduras, millions of peoples lives are at stake.
Last year, the world bank suggested that climate change could lead at least 1.4 million people to leave their homes in Central America and migrate during the next three decades. They are likely to head North to America, and frankly even if Donald Trump did build his wall, then it wouldn't matter a jot as these people have a legitimate case of seeking asylum. The majority of carbon in our atmosphere is caused by the biggest companies in the world, mostly American and the carbon footprint per capita is the highest in the world. They would surely have an obligation to help out.
The United States to be fair has allocated millions of dollars in aid in recent years for farmers across Central America, including to help them adapt to the changing climate, it remains to be seen if this is enough to stop mass migration.
So what will happen to the coffee price if many more farmers are forced to flee from the region? Well the price of coffee could well see a large increase but may stabilise and be more viable long term as farmers learn to grow more hardy varieties of bean.